Odds And Probabilities Advanced Texas Holdem Volume 2

Odds And Probabilities Advanced Texas Holdem Volume 2

Big Pocket Pairs have the best chance against one or two opponents and goes down to almost a 50/50 gamble from there. I like having above a 60% chance of winning a hand, especially in no limit when my whole stack is in danger. Raising with big cards is optimal. In high stakes play you will not get as many people calling your raise (sometimes it is correct to slow play a big Pocket Pair if you are going to get only one or two callers or is it is at an extremely tight table), but in low stakes poker you will often have many opponents calling almost anything.

This next section deals with game types since this will determine how you play your cards. You can look for two different situations. If the table is loose and players regularly call large pre-flop raises or tight and most players fold. Knowing your table dynamics and the individual play of each opponent is one of the most important edges that will help you take home more money in your poker career.

Remember, losing your stack once with a pair of aces but doubling up two times is profiting within probability. You are playing correctly even if you lose a few times in a row. It may not feel like it but these things ALWAYS even out. Of course, knowing when your pocket Aces are beat after the Flop and tossing them in the muck is the best play. However, we cannot always determine when someone has a better hand if the flop throws off rags. It is amazing how many players online go with 4 5 suited against a big raise trying to trap someone.

A loose game is one with six or more players regularly seeing the flop with sparse or no pre-flop raises. Essentially, you need at least a 15% chance of winning the hand if you are going to play the more speculative hands. That is assuming another hand does not dominate your cards or someone is not limping with a very strong hand. I would actually want cards that have a 15% minimum to 20% win percentage (6+ players) to play a speculative suited connector hand. Many loose players will play even poorer cards so you will be slightly ahead. Of course, you cannot always determine if you will get the correct pot equity up front in early position so limp in with speculative hands only in the later positions.

A typical game is three to five people seeing the flop with one out of every four hands having a pre-flop raise. You have to consider the reality of preflop raises cutting into your bottom line. If one out of every four times you are run off your hand by a pre-flop raise then you should consider only going in with cards that have a 20% minimum (five players) or 33% minimum (three players) chance of winning at the showdown compared to the number of players limping in. One question to ask before limping into the pot is, “Would I call a raise with these cards?” If the answer is no most of the time then do not even put in that first bet. Save that money for the times when you have the strong starting cards and you want to raise the pot.

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